看板 TY_Research
北部今天冷涼冷涼的 菲律賓東方海面還是擠出個熱帶低氣壓 大J看起來看好他成颱風 https://i.imgur.com/x2EEfED.jpg
WTPN31 PGTW 130900 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W (SEVENTEEN) WARNING NR 004// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W (SEVENTEEN) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z --- NEAR 8.1N 139.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 8.1N 139.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z --- 7.8N 138.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z --- 7.9N 138.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z --- 8.0N 137.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z --- 8.2N 135.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z --- 8.9N 132.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z --- 10.1N 128.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z --- 11.3N 125.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 130900Z POSITION NEAR 8.0N 138.9E. 13NOV23. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W (SEVENTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 130600Z IS 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z, 132100Z, 140300Z AND 140900Z.// NNNN -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 114.137.229.23 (臺灣) ※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/TY_Research/M.1699872487.A.4D8.html
jasonccr : 小J倒是賜死了 11/13 22:21
WuCH1022 : 2023聖嬰麻煩去領繩子 生成數還能輸反聖嬰 太丟臉了 11/13 22:41
uodam64402 : 沒辦法,感覺是全球暖化有關,現在南高的東風風切 11/13 22:44
uodam64402 : 餘威太強,實在太過抑制了擾動的增強與發展。 11/13 22:45
uodam64402 : 這幾年太常發生南高東伸到西太平洋去切死颱風現象。 11/13 22:46
Kroner : 不動對關節最好,拎北都躺著 11/14 08:16
Chang0212 : 不成氣候 11/13 22:49
Chang0212 : https://i.imgur.com/supKOQV.jpg 11/13 22:50
Chang0212 : 看看這啥鳥樣子 11/13 22:50
Chang0212 : https://i.imgur.com/48QgBFz.jpg 11/13 22:51
Kroner : 怎麼選 11/14 13:34
Chang0212 : 這風切…… 11/13 22:53
Chang0212 : https://i.imgur.com/tLGODET.jpg 11/13 22:53
aegis43210 : 還以為是2010 11/13 22:56
ltytw : 我來去查查今年西太生成了幾個 感覺今年沒有很 11/14 07:37
Chricey : 三高 11/14 07:37
ltytw : 搖滾 11/14 07:37
killseven : 西太沒有很搖滾 但台灣可是蠻搖滾的 11/14 08:15
killseven : 歷史上的幾個少颱風年 2010 1998 跟今年 11/14 08:16
killseven : 台灣的颱風可是都不算少 11/14 08:16
Kroner : 關節痛這種東西,比鬼還可怕! 11/14 08:16
killseven : 反而比例看起來 台灣還算是偏多 11/14 08:16
x111222z : 看生成位置和熱低壓數比較像2006、2009,差別在今年 11/14 10:28
x111222z : 的熱低壓沒法長成颱風的比例高很多 11/14 10:28
wl3532 : 熱低壓不是熱帶性低氣壓 11/14 13:34
Chricey : 飲食不均衡 11/14 13:34
hinajian : 這堆渣算熱低嗎w 11/14 14:34